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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Paraparaumu weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Paraparaumu today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 69% chance of rain.

15°12°
15°13°
15°13°
15°9°
14°9°
16°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Mainly clear
Feels 10° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 87%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Paraparaumu: European (ECMWF): 13° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 13° Overcast.

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Paraparaumu weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Paraparaumu swings 14°C across the year, from 19°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1575 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
19°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
1575 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
30,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Paraparaumu and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paraparaumu hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paraparaumu 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Tue
Showers
15° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 9°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
15° 8°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
17° 8°
models agree

Paraparaumu, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Paraparaumu right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Paraparaumu's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Paraparaumu weather by month

what to expect in Paraparaumu through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Paraparaumu's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Paraparaumu by season.

Jan
19°
13°
Mild
Feb
19°
14°
Mild
Mar
18°
12°
Mild
Apr
16°
10°
Mild
May
14°
8°
Cool
Jun
12°
6°
Cool
Wettest
Jul
11°
5°
Cool
Aug
11°
6°
Cool
Sep
12°
7°
Cool
Oct
14°
9°
Cool
Nov
16°
10°
Mild
Dec
17°
12°
Mild

What Paraparaumu's weather is like through the year

Paraparaumu runs from warm summers, with January highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 14°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Paraparaumu sees roughly 1575 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Paraparaumu

The most comfortable time to visit Paraparaumu is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

How the weather around Paraparaumu has changed since 1995

Paraparaumu sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lower Hutt. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lower Hutt page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paraparaumu?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C96±1.8 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
81
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C94±2.9 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Paraparaumu, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 90. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±97%3% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 16°±64%5% to 69% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±48%52% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree15° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree14° to 15°±28%15% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paraparaumu

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paraparaumu today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Paraparaumu today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 69% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Paraparaumu today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Paraparaumu on Sunday 25 October: European 69%, American 8%, German 5%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paraparaumu?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paraparaumu (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paraparaumu?
January is typically the warmest month in Paraparaumu, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Paraparaumu get?
The coldest month in Paraparaumu is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Paraparaumu get?
Paraparaumu sees roughly 1575 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Paraparaumu?
The most comfortable time to visit Paraparaumu is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Paraparaumu?
Rarely - Paraparaumu very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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