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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Raumati Beach weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Raumati Beach today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 69% chance of rain.

15°13°
15°13°
15°13°
15°10°
15°9°
16°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Mainly clear
Feels 11° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 87%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Raumati Beach: European (ECMWF): 13° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 14° Overcast.

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Raumati Beach weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Raumati Beach swings 13°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1424 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
1424 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,390
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Raumati Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Raumati Beach hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Raumati Beach 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Tue
Showers
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 9°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
16° 8°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 8°
models agree

Raumati Beach, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1424 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Raumati Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Raumati Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
20°
15°
Feb
20°
15°
Mar
19°
14°
Apr
18°
12°
May
15°
10°
Jun
13°
8°
Jul
12°
7°
Aug
12°
8°
Sep
13°
8°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
17°
12°
Dec
18°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Raumati Beach has changed since 1995

Raumati Beach sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lower Hutt. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lower Hutt page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Raumati Beach?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C93±3.3 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C92±3.8 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C95±2.7 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 15°±97%3% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±64%5% to 69% chance
Mon±1°15° to 15°±48%52% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree15° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 15°±28%15% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Raumati Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Raumati Beach today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Raumati Beach today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 69% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Raumati Beach today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Raumati Beach on Sunday 25 October: European 69%, American 8%, German 5%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Raumati Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Raumati Beach (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Raumati Beach?
January is typically the warmest month in Raumati Beach, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Raumati Beach get?
The coldest month in Raumati Beach is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Raumati Beach get?
Raumati Beach sees roughly 1424 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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