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CheckWeather NZOtaki
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Otaki weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Otaki today. Tomorrow looks heavy rain around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°12°
14°
12°
13°
12°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Showers
Today 15°·Low 13°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Otaki and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
14° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy rain
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Thu
Light rain
12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
13°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
12°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
13°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13°
±2°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
13°
models agree

Otaki, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 2003 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Otaki right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Otaki climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
15°
Feb
21°
15°
Mar
19°
12°
Apr
18°
11°
May
16°
10°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
17°
11°
Dec
20°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Otaki?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C89±5.3 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
74
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C91±4.4 km/t4771% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C93±3.5 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree14° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±2°11° to 13°±15%8% to 23% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±71%5% to 76% chance
Thu±2°11° to 12°±30%70% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Otaki

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Otaki today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Otaki today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Otaki today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Otaki and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Otaki?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Otaki (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the European at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Otaki?
January is typically the warmest month in Otaki, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Otaki get?
The coldest month in Otaki is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Otaki get?
Otaki sees roughly 2003 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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