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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Levin weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Levin's high today between 15° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 88% chance of rain.

15°10°
16°12°
16°12°
16°10°
15°10°
15°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Feels 10° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 89%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Levin: European (ECMWF): 12° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 13° Overcast.

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Levin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Levin swings 15°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 6°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1460 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
June
1460 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
20,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Levin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Levin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Levin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15° 10°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
16° 12°
±3°
Tue
Showers
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
15° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 9°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
17° 10°
±2°
Mon
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 10°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 9°
±3°

Levin, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1460 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Levin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Levin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
14°
Feb
20°
14°
Mar
19°
12°
Apr
18°
11°
May
15°
9°
Jun
13°
7°
Jul
12°
6°
Aug
12°
6°
Sep
13°
7°
Oct
16°
9°
Nov
17°
11°
Dec
19°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Levin's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Levin, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: −0% vs the 30-year average1998: −0% vs the 30-year average1999: −8% vs the 30-year average2000: −0% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +11% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: +5% vs the 30-year average2005: −5% vs the 30-year average2006: +8% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: −3% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: +6% vs the 30-year average2015: +3% vs the 30-year average2016: +5% vs the 30-year average2017: −3% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C−3%
1996−0.4°C−0%
1997−0.6°C−0%
1998+0.5°C−0%
1999+0.7°C−8%
2000±0.0°C−0%
2001+0.3°C−5%
2002−0.1°C+11%
2003+0.1°C−0%
2004−0.8°C+5%
2005+0.3°C−5%
2006−0.5°C+8%
2007−0.2°C−0%
2008+0.1°C−2%
2009−0.8°C+1%
2010−0.3°C−2%
2011−0.2°C−3%
2012−0.4°C−0%
2013+0.4°C−0%
2014−0.2°C+6%
2015−0.2°C+3%
2016+0.5°C+5%
2017±0.0°C−3%
2018+0.6°C−2%
2019+0.4°C+3%
2020±0.0°C−0%
2021+0.3°C−2%
2022+0.6°C−3%
2023+0.4°C−0%
2024+0.1°C−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Levin, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Levin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C91±4.4 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C89±5.6 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C85±7.4 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±90%10% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±68%20% to 88% chance
Mon±3°15° to 18°±42%58% to 100% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Wed±3°13° to 16°±40%48% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Levin

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Levin today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Levin's high today between 15° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 88% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Levin today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Levin on Sunday 25 October: European 88%, American 23%, German 20%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Levin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Levin (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Levin?
January is typically the warmest month in Levin, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Levin get?
The coldest month in Levin is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Levin get?
Levin sees roughly 1460 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Levin getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Levin, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

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