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CheckWeather NZPorirua
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Porirua weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Porirua today. Tomorrow looks rain around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°12°
12°
12°
13°
12°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low 13°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Porirua and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
14° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
11°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
14° 11°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
models agree

Porirua, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Porirua right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Porirua's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Porirua weather by month

what to expect in Porirua through the year

Here is Porirua's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Porirua by season.

Jan
21°
14°
Mild
Feb
20°
14°
Mild
Mar
18°
12°
Mild
Apr
17°
11°
Mild
May
15°
Mild
Wettest
Jun
13°
Cool
Jul
12°
Cool
Aug
12°
Cool
Sep
14°
Cool
Oct
15°
Mild
Nov
16°
11°
Mild
Dec
18°
13°
Mild

What Porirua's weather is like through the year

Porirua runs from warm summers, with January highs near 21°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 14°C across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Porirua sees roughly 1238 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Porirua

The most comfortable time to visit Porirua is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Porirua?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C92±3.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C91±4.7 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C95±2.3 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Porirua, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 14°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°10° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree12° to 13°±6%4% to 10% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance
Thu±1°12° to 12°±31%55% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Porirua

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Porirua today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Porirua today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Porirua today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Porirua and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Porirua?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Porirua (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Porirua?
January is typically the warmest month in Porirua, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Porirua get?
The coldest month in Porirua is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Porirua get?
Porirua sees roughly 1238 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Porirua?
The most comfortable time to visit Porirua is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Porirua?
Rarely - Porirua very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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