Avalon weather
Loading live data…Rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Avalon today. Tomorrow looks rain around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Avalon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitAvalon, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1238 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Avalon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
Avalon climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Avalon?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.