Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CA›North Saanich
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

North Saanich weather

Loading live data…

Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in North Saanich today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 12°, with a 99% chance of rain.

10°4°
12°8°
14°6°
13°6°
11°6°
9°5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 95%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 82%

Latest for North Saanich: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

North Saanich weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

North Saanich swings 21°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1054 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
November
1054 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
11,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around North Saanich and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

North Saanich hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

North Saanich 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
10° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
13° 6°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 6°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
13° 8°
±5°

North Saanich, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1054 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for North Saanich right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

North Saanich climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
6°
May
18°
10°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around North Saanich has changed since 1995

North Saanich sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Victoria. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Victoria page.

Which forecast is most accurate in North Saanich?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C94±3.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±2.8 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 11°±50%42% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°10° to 13°±36%63% to 99% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 14°±38%21% to 59% chance
Tue±3°12° to 14°±10%19% to 29% chance
Wed±3°9° to 12°±20%43% to 63% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North Saanich

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
10h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in North Saanich today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in North Saanich today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 12°, with a 99% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in North Saanich today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in North Saanich on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 63% (Env. Canada 82%, European 99%, American 63%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Saanich?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for North Saanich (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North Saanich?
July is typically the warmest month in North Saanich, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does North Saanich get?
The coldest month in North Saanich is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does North Saanich get?
North Saanich sees roughly 1054 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather