Toronto weather
Loading live data…Clear,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Toronto today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Toronto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitToronto, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Toronto right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Toronto's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Toronto weather by month
what to expect in Toronto through the yearHere is Toronto's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Toronto by season.
What Toronto's weather is like through the year
Toronto runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -5°C (a swing of about 31°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Toronto sees roughly 969 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Toronto sees regular winter snowfall.
Best time to visit Toronto
The most comfortable time to visit Toronto is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Toronto?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Toronto, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.