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CheckWeather CAEdmonton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Edmonton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Edmonton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 48% chance of rain.

14°10°
18°11°
16°11°
20°11°
22°12°
16°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 22%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Edmonton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Mon
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 11°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 11°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
±5°
Thu
Clear
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±6°

Edmonton, Alberta. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Edmonton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Edmonton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Edmonton weather by month

what to expect in Edmonton through the year

Here is Edmonton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Edmonton by season.

Jan
-7°
-14°
Cold
Feb
-4°
-12°
Cold
Mar
-3°
-12°
Cold
Apr
10°
-1°
Cool
May
19°
Mild
Jun
21°
10°
Mild
Jul
24°
14°
Warm
Wettest
Aug
23°
12°
Warm
Sep
19°
Mild
Oct
10°
Cool
Nov
-6°
Cold
Dec
-2°
-9°
Cold

What Edmonton's weather is like through the year

Edmonton runs from warm summers, with July highs near 24°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -14°C (a swing of about 38°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Edmonton sees roughly 581 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Edmonton sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Edmonton

The most comfortable time to visit Edmonton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Edmonton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C92±4.1 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
67
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C95±2.6 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Edmonton, scoring 79/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree14° to 14°±64%22% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±29%19% to 48% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±25%30% to 55% chance
Tue±3°19° to 21°±6%18% to 24% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±26%0% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Edmonton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:14
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Edmonton today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Edmonton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Edmonton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Edmonton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Edmonton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Edmonton (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Edmonton?
July is typically the warmest month in Edmonton, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Edmonton get?
The coldest month in Edmonton is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Edmonton get?
Edmonton sees roughly 581 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Edmonton?
The most comfortable time to visit Edmonton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Edmonton?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Edmonton, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

More CA weather