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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Edmonton weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in Edmonton today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain.

3°-3°
2°-5°
6°-3°
5°-3°
0°-3°
-1°-5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-1°
Clear
Feels -6° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
-1°
Clear
Feels -6° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Clear
Feels -8° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Edmonton: Env. Canada (GEM model): -1° Clear · European (ECMWF): -1° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Clear.

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Edmonton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Edmonton swings 37°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 448 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 27 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 183 frost nights, and rain on 101 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
448 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
1 million
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
27 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
183 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
101 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Edmonton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Edmonton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Edmonton in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Edmonton, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Edmonton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Edmonton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
3° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
2° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
6° -3°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
5° -3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
0° -3°
±3°
Thu
Light snow
-1° -5°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
0° -5°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
1° -6°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
7° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
8° 0°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 1°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
8° 2°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±7°

Edmonton, Alberta. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Edmonton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Edmonton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Edmonton weather by month

what to expect in Edmonton through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Edmonton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Edmonton by season.

Jan
-8°
-15°
Cold
Feb
-6°
-14°
Cold
Mar
-2°
-11°
Cold
Apr
9°
-2°
Cool
May
17°
5°
Mild
Jun
20°
9°
Mild
Jul
22°
12°
Warm
Wettest
Aug
22°
11°
Warm
Sep
16°
6°
Mild
Oct
9°
0°
Cool
Nov
0°
-7°
Cold
Dec
-6°
-13°
Cold

What Edmonton's weather is like through the year

Edmonton runs from warm summers, with July highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -15°C (a swing of about 37°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Edmonton sees roughly 448 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Edmonton sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Edmonton

The most comfortable time to visit Edmonton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

How Edmonton's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Edmonton, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −3.1°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2001: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +2.1°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −10 vs the 30-year average1996: −14 vs the 30-year average1997: −16 vs the 30-year average1998: +19 vs the 30-year average1999: +0 vs the 30-year average2000: −13 vs the 30-year average2001: +7 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: +9 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: +15 vs the 30-year average2007: +0 vs the 30-year average2008: +5 vs the 30-year average2009: +10 vs the 30-year average2010: −13 vs the 30-year average2011: −6 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: +10 vs the 30-year average2016: −8 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: −20 vs the 30-year average2020: −17 vs the 30-year average2021: +12 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: +9 vs the 30-year average2024: +13 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

3 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: −15 vs the 30-year average1999: −8 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +18 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: +7 vs the 30-year average2005: −13 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +12 vs the 30-year average2010: −1 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: +3 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: −6 vs the 30-year average2016: −10 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +16 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: −11 vs the 30-year average2023: −8 vs the 30-year average2024: −10 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: +2% vs the 30-year average1998: −8% vs the 30-year average1999: −0% vs the 30-year average2000: −3% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: +4% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −8% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −0% vs the 30-year average2015: −0% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: +4% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +7% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +7% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°C−10+9−5%
1996−3.1°C−14+7−0%
1997−0.1°C−16+2+2%
1998+0.9°C+19−15−8%
1999+0.6°C+0−8−0%
2000−0.4°C−13+0−3%
2001+1.3°C+7−3+2%
2002±0.0°C+14+18−0%
2003±0.0°C+9+1−0%
2004+0.2°C−9+7+4%
2005+0.8°C−12−13+2%
2006+0.8°C+15−3+2%
2007+0.3°C+0−7+4%
2008+0.1°C+5+3+2%
2009−0.8°C+10+12−3%
2010−0.2°C−13−1−8%
2011−0.1°C−6−5+4%
2012−0.1°C−2+3+2%
2013−0.3°C−4−1−0%
2014−0.5°C+3+2−0%
2015+1.3°C+10−6−0%
2016+1.4°C−8−10−3%
2017+0.1°C−3−2+4%
2018−0.8°C+8+16−3%
2019−1.2°C−20+8−3%
2020−0.8°C−17+1+7%
2021+0.3°C+12+9+2%
2022+0.1°C+2−11+7%
2023+2.1°C+9−8−3%
2024+0.5°C+13−10−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Edmonton, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Edmonton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.9 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C89±5.3 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Edmonton, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°2° to 4°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°2° to 3°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°5° to 6°±17%7% to 24% chance
Wed±3°-1° to 2°±25%18% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Edmonton

today, local time
Sunrise
08:18
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
9h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Edmonton today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in Edmonton today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Edmonton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Edmonton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Edmonton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Edmonton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Edmonton?
July is typically the warmest month in Edmonton, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Edmonton get?
The coldest month in Edmonton is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Edmonton get?
Edmonton sees roughly 448 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Edmonton?
The most comfortable time to visit Edmonton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Edmonton?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Edmonton, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Edmonton getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Edmonton, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather