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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAWinnipeg
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Winnipeg weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Winnipeg's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 27°, with a 55% chance of rain.

26°15°
27°16°
23°18°
23°17°
20°13°
24°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Cloudy
Today 28°·Low 15°·Rain 57%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Winnipeg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
26° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
27° 16°
±4°
Mon
Showers
23° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 13°
±4°
Thu
Clear
24° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°
Tue
Clear
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree

Winnipeg, Manitoba. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Winnipeg right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Winnipeg's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Winnipeg weather by month

what to expect in Winnipeg through the year

Here is Winnipeg's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Winnipeg by season.

Jan
-8°
-15°
Cold
Feb
-4°
-14°
Cold
Mar
-2°
-13°
Cold
Apr
-2°
Cool
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
14°
Warm
Wettest
Jul
25°
15°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
12°
Cool
Nov
-4°
Cold
Dec
-3°
-10°
Cold

What Winnipeg's weather is like through the year

Winnipeg runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -15°C (a swing of about 40°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Winnipeg sees roughly 614 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Winnipeg sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Winnipeg

The most comfortable time to visit Winnipeg is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Winnipeg?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
67
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C88±6.0 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Winnipeg, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 70. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 28°±48%33% to 81% chance
Tomorrow±4°25° to 29°±29%26% to 55% chance
Mon±2°22° to 24°±9%87% to 96% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°±36%54% to 90% chance
Wed±4°17° to 22°±24%14% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Winnipeg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:04
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Winnipeg today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Winnipeg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Winnipeg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Winnipeg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Winnipeg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Winnipeg (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Winnipeg?
July is typically the warmest month in Winnipeg, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Winnipeg get?
The coldest month in Winnipeg is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Winnipeg get?
Winnipeg sees roughly 614 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Winnipeg?
The most comfortable time to visit Winnipeg is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Winnipeg?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Winnipeg, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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