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CheckWeather CASt. James-Assiniboia East
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

St. James-Assiniboia East weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put St. James-Assiniboia East's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 27°, with a 55% chance of rain.

26°15°
27°16°
23°18°
23°17°
20°13°
24°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 16°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Light drizzle
Today 28°·Low 15°·Rain 61%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around St. James-Assiniboia East and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
27° 16°
±4°
Mon
Showers
23° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Thu
Clear
24° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±4°
Tue
Clear
20° 11°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree

St. James-Assiniboia East, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 614 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for St. James-Assiniboia East right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

St. James-Assiniboia East climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-2°
-13°
Apr
-2°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in St. James-Assiniboia East?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C94±3.0 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
67
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C94±2.9 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 28°±48%33% to 81% chance
Tomorrow±4°25° to 29°±29%26% to 55% chance
Mon±1°23° to 24°±9%87% to 96% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°±35%54% to 89% chance
Wed±4°17° to 22°±25%13% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in St. James-Assiniboia East

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:04
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in St. James-Assiniboia East today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for St. James-Assiniboia East today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in St. James-Assiniboia East today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for St. James-Assiniboia East and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for St. James-Assiniboia East?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for St. James-Assiniboia East (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in St. James-Assiniboia East?
July is typically the warmest month in St. James-Assiniboia East, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does St. James-Assiniboia East get?
The coldest month in St. James-Assiniboia East is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does St. James-Assiniboia East get?
St. James-Assiniboia East sees roughly 614 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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