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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMontreal
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Montreal weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Montreal's high today between 19° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 10% chance of rain.

21°12°
23°12°
20°14°
21°14°
22°14°
17°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 59%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Clear
Feels 18° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Mainly clear
Feels 15° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 63%

Latest for Montreal: Env. Canada (GEM model): 17° Clear · European (ECMWF): 18° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Montreal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Wed
Showers
21° 14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Showers
22° 12°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
23° 14°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
18° 11°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
18° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18°
±4°

Montreal, Quebec. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Montreal right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Montreal's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Montreal weather by month

what to expect in Montreal through the year

Here is Montreal's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Montreal by season.

Jan
-4°
-11°
Cold
Feb
-2°
-12°
Cold
Mar
-5°
Cold
Apr
11°
Cool
May
19°
Mild
Jun
23°
14°
Warm
Jul
25°
17°
Warm
Aug
23°
15°
Warm
Wettest
Sep
21°
12°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Nov
-1°
Cold
Dec
-2°
-7°
Cold

What Montreal's weather is like through the year

Montreal runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -12°C (a swing of about 37°C across the year). August is usually the wettest month, and Montreal sees roughly 1229 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December), so Montreal sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Montreal

The most comfortable time to visit Montreal is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Montreal?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Montreal, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 23°±36%4% to 40% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±20%11% to 31% chance
Wed±1°20° to 21°±6%82% to 88% chance
Thu±4°19° to 23°±10%73% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Montreal

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Montreal today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Montreal today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Montreal today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Montreal and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montreal?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Montreal (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Montreal?
July is typically the warmest month in Montreal, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Montreal get?
The coldest month in Montreal is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Montreal get?
Montreal sees roughly 1229 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Montreal?
The most comfortable time to visit Montreal is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Montreal?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December) in Montreal, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

More CA weather