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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACalgary
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Calgary weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Calgary's high today between 10° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 14°, with a 82% chance of rain.

11°
14°
15°11°
19°10°
24°
19°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±12°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Calgary and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Showers
15° 11°
±2°
Tue
Rain
19° 10°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
24°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
19°
±12°
Fri
Drizzle
11°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
±4°
Mon
Clear
20°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
±5°

Calgary, Alberta. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Calgary right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Calgary's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Calgary weather by month

what to expect in Calgary through the year

Here is Calgary's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Calgary by season.

Jan
-3°
-13°
Cold
Feb
-11°
Cold
Mar
-12°
Cold
Apr
10°
-2°
Cool
May
18°
Mild
Jun
21°
Mild
Wettest
Jul
25°
12°
Warm
Aug
24°
11°
Warm
Sep
20°
Mild
Oct
12°
Cool
Nov
-6°
Cold
Dec
-7°
Cold

What Calgary's weather is like through the year

Calgary runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -13°C (a swing of about 38°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Calgary sees roughly 485 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Calgary sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Calgary

The most comfortable time to visit Calgary is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Calgary?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C89±5.6 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C92±3.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Calgary, scoring 96/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 13°±55%37% to 92% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree14° to 14°±26%56% to 82% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±9%56% to 65% chance
Tue±6°16° to 22°±11%48% to 59% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Calgary

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Calgary today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Calgary today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Calgary today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Calgary and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Calgary?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Calgary (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Calgary?
July is typically the warmest month in Calgary, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Calgary get?
The coldest month in Calgary is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Calgary get?
Calgary sees roughly 485 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Calgary?
The most comfortable time to visit Calgary is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Calgary?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Calgary, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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