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CheckWeather CA›Le Plateau-Mont-Royal
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Le Plateau-Mont-Royal weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Le Plateau-Mont-Royal's high today between 11° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain.

12°1°
14°3°
13°5°
7°1°
8°-1°
14°3°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-1°
Clear
Feels -4° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
3°
Overcast
Feels 1° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Le Plateau-Mont-Royal: Env. Canada (GEM model): -1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 3° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Clear.

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Le Plateau-Mont-Royal weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Le Plateau-Mont-Royal swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1152 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 64 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 144 frost nights, and rain on 143 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
August
1152 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
106,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
64 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
144 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
143 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Le Plateau-Mont-Royal’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Le Plateau-Mont-Royal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Le Plateau-Mont-Royal hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Le Plateau-Mont-Royal 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° 1°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
13° 5°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14° 3°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
14° 6°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
11° 4°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
15° 6°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
13° 9°
±7°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
13° 5°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 2°
±4°

Le Plateau-Mont-Royal, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1152 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Le Plateau-Mont-Royal right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Le Plateau-Mont-Royal climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-13°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
12°
1°
May
19°
8°
Jun
23°
14°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-1°
Dec
-2°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Le Plateau-Mont-Royal has changed since 1995

Le Plateau-Mont-Royal sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Montreal. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Montreal page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
76±1.4°C96±2.0 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C97±1.6 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tue±1°6° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°7° to 8°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Le Plateau-Mont-Royal's high today between 11° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Le Plateau-Mont-Royal?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Le Plateau-Mont-Royal (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal?
July is typically the warmest month in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Le Plateau-Mont-Royal get?
The coldest month in Le Plateau-Mont-Royal is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Le Plateau-Mont-Royal get?
Le Plateau-Mont-Royal sees roughly 1152 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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