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CheckWeather CA›Fort Garry South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Fort Garry South weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Fort Garry South today. Tomorrow: clear, around 6°, with a 1% chance of rain.

17°5°
6°0°
6°-2°
7°-1°
9°4°
8°3°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
9°
Overcast
Feels 4° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 71%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 31 km/h · Humidity 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
7°
Overcast
Feels 1° · Wind 31 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Fort Garry South: Env. Canada (GEM model): 9° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 11° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Overcast.

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Fort Garry South weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fort Garry South swings 44°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 567 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 58 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 178 frost nights, and rain on 95 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
June
567 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
65,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
58 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
178 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
95 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fort Garry South’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fort Garry South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fort Garry South hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fort Garry South 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
6° 0°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
6° -2°
models agree
Tue
Light snow
7° -1°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 3°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 4°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
11° 7°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
6° 2°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
6° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
9° 1°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±6°

Fort Garry South, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 567 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fort Garry South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fort Garry South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-12°
-19°
Feb
-8°
-18°
Mar
1°
-9°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
18°
6°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
9°
Oct
10°
2°
Nov
1°
-6°
Dec
-7°
-14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fort Garry South has changed since 1995

Fort Garry South sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Winnipeg. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Winnipeg page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Garry South?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.5 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±46%2% to 48% chance
Tomorrow±3°5° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°5° to 9°±36%16% to 52% chance
Wed±2°8° to 9°±20%38% to 58% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Garry South

today, local time
Sunrise
08:05
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Garry South today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Fort Garry South today. Tomorrow: clear, around 6°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fort Garry South today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fort Garry South on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 48%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Garry South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Garry South (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Garry South?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Garry South, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Fort Garry South get?
The coldest month in Fort Garry South is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Fort Garry South get?
Fort Garry South sees roughly 567 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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