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CheckWeather CAFort Garry South
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Fort Garry South weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Fort Garry South's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 27°, with a 55% chance of rain.

26°15°
27°16°
23°18°
23°17°
20°13°
24°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Showers
Feels 22° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Partly cloudy
Feels 29° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light showers
Feels 24° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Fort Garry South: Env. Canada (GEM model): 21° Showers · European (ECMWF): 26° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 23° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fort Garry South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
26° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
27° 16°
±3°
Mon
Showers
23° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Thu
Clear
24° 11°
±3°
Fri
Clear
21° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±5°
Tue
Clear
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 10°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree

Fort Garry South, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 573 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fort Garry South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fort Garry South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-2°
-12°
Apr
-2°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Garry South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
72
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C95±2.6 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 28°±61%33% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±3°26° to 29°±30%25% to 55% chance
Mon±1°23° to 23°±10%87% to 97% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±35%54% to 89% chance
Wed±4°18° to 22°±25%13% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Garry South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:03
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Garry South today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Fort Garry South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fort Garry South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Fort Garry South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Garry South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Garry South (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Garry South?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Garry South, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Fort Garry South get?
The coldest month in Fort Garry South is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Fort Garry South get?
Fort Garry South sees roughly 573 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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