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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Downtown weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in Downtown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain.

3°-3°
2°-5°
5°-3°
5°-4°
0°-3°
-1°-6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Clear
Feels -6° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
-1°
Clear
Feels -7° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Clear
Feels -8° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 66%

Latest for Downtown: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Clear · European (ECMWF): -1° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Clear.

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Downtown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Downtown swings 37°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 447 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
447 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Downtown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Downtown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Downtown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
3° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
2° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
5° -3°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
5° -4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
0° -3°
±4°
Thu
Light snow
-1° -6°
±2°
Fri
Partly cloudy
0° -6°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
1° -7°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
7° -6°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
8° 0°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 1°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
7° 2°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±7°

Downtown, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 447 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Downtown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Downtown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-5°
-14°
Mar
-1°
-11°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
17°
5°
Jun
20°
9°
Jul
22°
12°
Aug
22°
11°
Sep
16°
5°
Oct
9°
0°
Nov
0°
-7°
Dec
-5°
-13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Downtown has changed since 1995

Downtown sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Edmonton. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Edmonton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±0.9 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C87±6.5 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C86±7.0 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°2° to 4°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°1° to 3°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°4° to 6°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±17%7% to 24% chance
Wed±4°-2° to 2°±24%19% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown

today, local time
Sunrise
08:18
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
9h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in Downtown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Downtown today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Downtown on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Downtown?
July is typically the warmest month in Downtown, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Downtown get?
The coldest month in Downtown is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Downtown get?
Downtown sees roughly 447 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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