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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CADowntown
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Downtown weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Downtown today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 48% chance of rain.

14°10°
18°11°
16°11°
20°11°
22°11°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low 10°·Rain 23%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Downtown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 10°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 10°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Thu
Clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°

Downtown is a small town of about 12,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 53.5°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Downtown with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wihkwentowin, Boyle Street, Queen Mary Park.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C91±4.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C90±5.2 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°±63%23% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 18°±29%19% to 48% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±26%29% to 55% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°±6%18% to 24% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±26%0% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:14
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Downtown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Downtown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Downtown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather