Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Victoria today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.
Victoria, British Columbia. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Victoria right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Victoria's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Here is Victoria's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Victoria by season.
Victoria runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Victoria sees roughly 1000 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Victoria is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Victoria, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 79. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.