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CheckWeather CAVictoria
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Victoria weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Victoria today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°11°
19°12°
20°12°
21°13°
20°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Victoria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
19° 12°
±3°
Tue
Clear
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Thu
Clear
20° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22° 13°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 11°
±5°

Victoria, British Columbia. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Victoria right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Victoria's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Victoria weather by month

what to expect in Victoria through the year

Here is Victoria's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Victoria by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cold
Mar
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
18°
10°
Mild
Jun
20°
11°
Mild
Jul
25°
14°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Sep
19°
12°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool
Wettest

What Victoria's weather is like through the year

Victoria runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Victoria sees roughly 1000 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Victoria

The most comfortable time to visit Victoria is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Victoria?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C90±5.0 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Victoria, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 79. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±63%4% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±3°17° to 20°±41%18% to 59% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Victoria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Victoria today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Victoria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Victoria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Victoria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Victoria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Victoria (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Victoria?
July is typically the warmest month in Victoria, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Victoria get?
The coldest month in Victoria is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Victoria get?
Victoria sees roughly 1000 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Victoria?
The most comfortable time to visit Victoria is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Victoria?
Rarely - Victoria very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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