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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAFairfield
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Fairfield weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Fairfield today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°11°
19°12°
20°11°
21°12°
20°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fairfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree
Thu
Clear
20° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22° 13°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 11°
±5°

Fairfield is a small town of about 12,000 people in British Columbia, sitting at 48.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Fairfield with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Victoria-Downtown, Fernwood, Victoria.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.7 km/t8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C94±3.0 km/t6983% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C94±3.0 km/t5575% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±63%4% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±4°16° to 20°±41%18% to 59% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fairfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fairfield today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Fairfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fairfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Fairfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fairfield?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Fairfield forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

Nearby

More CA weather