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CheckWeather CARoyal Oak
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Royal Oak weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Royal Oak today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 21°, with a 73% chance of rain.

24°11°
21°13°
21°12°
21°12°
20°12°
17°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 64%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Clear
Feels 17° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 74%

Latest for Royal Oak: Env. Canada (GEM model): 17° Clear · European (ECMWF): 17° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear.

Royal Oak weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Royal Oak swings 23°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to 2°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1000 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
December
1000 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
8,855
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Royal Oak and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
18° 10°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
20° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 11°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 12°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 12°
±7°

Royal Oak, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1000 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Royal Oak right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Royal Oak climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
25°
14°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Royal Oak?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
77±1.3°C90±5.1 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C94±3.1 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
63±2.0°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 24°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±63%10% to 73% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±2°20° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±20%4% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Royal Oak

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Royal Oak today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Royal Oak today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Royal Oak today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Royal Oak and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Royal Oak?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Royal Oak (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Royal Oak?
July is typically the warmest month in Royal Oak, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Royal Oak get?
The coldest month in Royal Oak is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Royal Oak get?
Royal Oak sees roughly 1000 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather