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Saanich Core weather

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Saanich Core weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Saanich Core swings 22°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 953 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
November
953 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
5,470
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saanich Core and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saanich Core hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saanich Core 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Saanich Core, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 953 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saanich Core right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saanich Core climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
13°
6°
May
18°
10°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
25°
14°
Aug
24°
14°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
6°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saanich Core has changed since 1995

Saanich Core sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Victoria. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Victoria page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saanich Core?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C96±2.2 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
90
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C93±3.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C95±2.6 km/h100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Saanich Core today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Saanich Core today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saanich Core today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Saanich Core and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saanich Core?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Saanich Core (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saanich Core?
July is typically the warmest month in Saanich Core, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Saanich Core get?
The coldest month in Saanich Core is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Saanich Core get?
Saanich Core sees roughly 953 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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