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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACentral Saanich
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Central Saanich weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Central Saanich today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°12°
20°12°
20°12°
21°12°
20°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Central Saanich and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
20° 12°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 12°
±4°
Sun
Clear
21° 12°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°

Central Saanich, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1005 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Central Saanich right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Central Saanich climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
17°
10°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Central Saanich?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
63±2.0°C93±3.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C91±4.6 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
57±2.4°C94±2.8 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±62%5% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±6°17° to 23°±41%18% to 59% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±1°20° to 22°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Central Saanich

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Central Saanich today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Central Saanich today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Central Saanich today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Central Saanich and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Central Saanich?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Central Saanich (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Central Saanich?
July is typically the warmest month in Central Saanich, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Central Saanich get?
The coldest month in Central Saanich is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Central Saanich get?
Central Saanich sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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