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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASaanich
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Saanich weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Saanich's high today between 18° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

20°12°
23°13°
20°13°
20°12°
21°13°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Partly cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saanich and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 13°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 13°
±4°
Tue
Clear
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
22° 12°
±4°
Sun
Clear
22° 13°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°

Saanich, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1005 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saanich right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saanich climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
17°
10°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Saanich?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
61±2.2°C93±3.3 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C94±2.8 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C94±3.1 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°18° to 22°±63%4% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±4°18° to 22°±41%18% to 59% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saanich

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saanich today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Saanich today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saanich today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Saanich and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saanich?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saanich (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saanich?
July is typically the warmest month in Saanich, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Saanich get?
The coldest month in Saanich is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Saanich get?
Saanich sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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