Tennessee weather today

We follow 118 towns and cities in Tennessee, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 74°F in Kingsport and 83°F in Chattanooga, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 14 of the 19 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tennessee?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 33 Tennessee cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 32, the American in 1 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

Tennessee climate, city by city

Across the 81 Tennessee places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 85°F in Crossville to 90°F in Bolivar, and January highs from 46°F in Crossville to 51°F in Gatlinburg. Mount Juliet is the wettest at about 64 in of precipitation a year, Morristown the driest at about 38 in.

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.