Nashville weather
Loading live data…Showers,much the same tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model put Nashville's high today between 94° and 99°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 94°, with a 7% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Nashville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitNashville, TN. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Nashville right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Nashville's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Nashville weather by month
what to expect in Nashville through the yearHere is Nashville's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Nashville by season.
What Nashville's weather is like through the year
Nashville runs from warm summers, with July highs near 89°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 32°F (a swing of about 57°F across the year). September is usually the wettest month, and Nashville sees roughly 61 inches of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Nashville
The most comfortable time to visit Nashville is usually March, April, October and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Nashville?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Nashville, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 55. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.