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CheckWeather USHendersonville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Hendersonville weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Hendersonville's high today between 94° and 100°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 93°, with a 10% chance of rain.

97°74°
93°76°
91°69°
91°73°
94°74°
93°75°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Drizzle
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 23%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Drizzle
Today 100°·Low 75°·Rain 23%
EuropeanECMWF
94°
Thunderstorm
Today 94°·Low 74°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hendersonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
97° 74°
±6°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
93° 76°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
91° 73°
models agree
Wed
Clear
94° 74°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 75°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 71°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
92° 71°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 71°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 65°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
79° 61°
models agree
Thu
Clear
80° 59°
models agree
Fri
Clear
83° 60°
±4°

Hendersonville, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 63 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hendersonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hendersonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
32°
Feb
58°
38°
Mar
62°
42°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
60°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
88°
71°
Aug
88°
69°
Sep
82°
64°
Oct
73°
54°
Nov
62°
45°
Dec
52°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hendersonville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F94±1.8 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°94° to 100°±77%23% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±7°90° to 97°±8%2% to 10% chance
Mon±5°88° to 94°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°90° to 93°±24%1% to 25% chance
Wed±2°93° to 95°±2%2% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hendersonville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hendersonville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hendersonville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hendersonville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hendersonville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hendersonville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hendersonville (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hendersonville?
July is typically the warmest month in Hendersonville, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Hendersonville get?
The coldest month in Hendersonville is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Hendersonville get?
Hendersonville sees roughly 63 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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