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CheckWeather USMurfreesboro
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Murfreesboro weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Murfreesboro's high today between 96° and 100°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 94°, with a 16% chance of rain.

98°73°
94°74°
91°69°
91°70°
93°71°
92°73°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Drizzle
Today 97°·Low 73°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Heavy showers
Today 100°·Low 73°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Thunderstorm
Today 96°·Low 72°·Rain 92%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Murfreesboro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
98° 73°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
94° 74°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
91° 70°
models agree
Wed
Clear
93° 71°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
92° 73°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
91° 70°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 68°
±6°
Sun
Showers
94° 72°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 69°
±19°
Tue
Drizzle
84° 64°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
80° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
82° 57°
models agree

Murfreesboro, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Murfreesboro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Murfreesboro climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
60°
40°
Mar
63°
43°
Apr
71°
51°
May
80°
60°
Jun
87°
65°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
68°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
75°
53°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
54°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Murfreesboro?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F93±2.1 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°96° to 100°±67%25% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±4°92° to 96°±10%6% to 16% chance
Mon±5°89° to 94°±3%7% to 10% chance
Tue±2°90° to 92°±18%1% to 19% chance
Wed±2°92° to 94°±8%2% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Murfreesboro

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Murfreesboro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Murfreesboro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Murfreesboro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Murfreesboro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Murfreesboro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Murfreesboro (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Murfreesboro?
July is typically the warmest month in Murfreesboro, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Murfreesboro get?
The coldest month in Murfreesboro is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Murfreesboro get?
Murfreesboro sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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