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CheckWeather USSmyrna
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Smyrna weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Smyrna's high today between 95° and 100°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 93°, with a 11% chance of rain.

97°74°
93°75°
90°69°
90°71°
93°72°
93°73°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Light drizzle
Feels 97° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Clear
Feels 87° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 56%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Mainly clear
Feels 89° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 53%

Latest for Smyrna: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 87° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 85° Clear · European (ECMWF): 86° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Smyrna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
97° 74°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
93° 75°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
90° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
90° 71°
models agree
Wed
Clear
93° 72°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
93° 73°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 70°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 69°
models agree
Sun
Showers
93° 73°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
87° 70°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
83° 65°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
80° 57°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
82° 59°
±5°

Smyrna, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 61 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Smyrna right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Smyrna climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
59°
39°
Mar
63°
42°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
59°
Jun
87°
65°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
88°
68°
Sep
82°
63°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
53°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Smyrna?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F94±1.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.8 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°95° to 100°±77%23% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°91° to 96°±7%4% to 11% chance
Mon±4°89° to 92°±1%4% to 5% chance
Tue±2°89° to 92°±12%3% to 15% chance
Wed±2°93° to 94°±7%1% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Smyrna

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Smyrna today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Smyrna today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Smyrna today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Smyrna and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Smyrna?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Smyrna (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Smyrna?
July is typically the warmest month in Smyrna, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Smyrna get?
The coldest month in Smyrna is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Smyrna get?
Smyrna sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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