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Columbia weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Columbia swings 57°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 31°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 155 days a year at 77°F or above, 76 of them at 86°F or above, 47 frost nights, and rain on 143 days.
Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
December
55 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
37,000
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Most accurate here
American
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
155 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
47 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
143 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Columbia’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Columbia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Columbia hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Columbia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Columbia, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Columbia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
48°
31°
Feb
53°
32°
Mar
60°
40°
Apr
69°
49°
May
78°
58°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
87°
67°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
72°
50°
Nov
59°
40°
Dec
51°
34°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Columbia's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F
Around Columbia, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
2 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
13 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°F
+13
+15
+2%
1996
−2.4°F
−7
+17
+5%
1997
−2.0°F
−8
+6
−1%
1998
+1.4°F
−3
−23
−1%
1999
+0.9°F
+21
−8
+5%
2000
±0.0°F
+15
+14
+5%
2001
−0.8°F
−11
−2
−1%
2002
±0.0°F
+4
+11
+2%
2003
−1.5°F
−11
+14
−1%
2004
−0.6°F
−11
−0
+2%
2005
+0.1°F
+8
+4
+2%
2006
+0.5°F
+13
−5
+2%
2007
+2.1°F
+15
−0
−1%
2008
−0.8°F
−2
+15
+5%
2009
−1.7°F
−11
−2
+2%
2010
−0.8°F
+11
+17
−5%
2011
+0.1°F
+5
−4
+2%
2012
+1.8°F
+7
−15
−1%
2013
−1.8°F
−11
+22
−1%
2014
−2.2°F
−10
+20
−1%
2015
+0.3°F
−10
−3
−1%
2016
+1.8°F
−5
−7
−1%
2017
+1.0°F
−8
−16
−1%
2018
+0.1°F
−6
+5
−1%
2019
+1.4°F
+10
−11
−5%
2020
±0.0°F
−11
−22
−1%
2021
±0.0°F
−11
−3
−1%
2022
−0.2°F
+8
+8
+2%
2023
+1.8°F
−2
−22
−5%
2024
+2.3°F
+14
−15
−1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Columbia, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Columbia?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F
95±1.5 mph
8290% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European
86
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F
97±0.9 mph
7184% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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EuropeanECMWF
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Common questions
What's the weather in Columbia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Columbia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Columbia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Columbia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Columbia?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Columbia (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Columbia?
July is typically the warmest month in Columbia, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Columbia get?
The coldest month in Columbia is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Columbia get?
Columbia sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Columbia getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Columbia, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.