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CheckWeather USCleveland
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Cleveland weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Cleveland today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 94°, with a 25% chance of rain.

93°74°
94°73°
89°71°
88°68°
90°67°
88°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Drizzle
Feels 92° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Clear
Feels 92° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 60%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
Feels 90° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 59%

Latest for Cleveland: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 85° Clear · European (ECMWF): 85° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cleveland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
93° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
94° 73°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
89° 71°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
88° 68°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
90° 67°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 70°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 70°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
86° 69°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 70°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 70°
±13°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
84° 66°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
80° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
77° 62°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 64°
±5°

Cleveland, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cleveland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cleveland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
51°
34°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
63°
43°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
59°
Jun
86°
64°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
68°
Sep
84°
63°
Oct
74°
52°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
53°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cleveland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.2 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°92° to 95°±61%29% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±3°92° to 96°±17%8% to 25% chance
Mon±5°86° to 92°±16%55% to 71% chance
Tue±1°88° to 89°±33%4% to 37% chance
Wed±1°90° to 91°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cleveland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
20:01
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cleveland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cleveland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cleveland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cleveland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cleveland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cleveland (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cleveland?
July is typically the warmest month in Cleveland, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Cleveland get?
The coldest month in Cleveland is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Cleveland get?
Cleveland sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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