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Bristol weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bristol and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Bristol, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bristol right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bristol climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
30°
Feb
56°
35°
Mar
59°
38°
Apr
68°
45°
May
74°
54°
Jun
81°
60°
Jul
86°
66°
Aug
84°
63°
Sep
80°
59°
Oct
69°
47°
Nov
59°
39°
Dec
50°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bristol?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F95±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bristol today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bristol today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bristol today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bristol and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bristol?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bristol (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bristol?
July is typically the warmest month in Bristol, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Bristol get?
The coldest month in Bristol is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Bristol get?
Bristol sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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