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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Waihi weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Waihi today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 93% chance of rain.

19°11°
19°13°
21°15°
23°14°
21°14°
22°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°Saturdaysplit ±3°Sundaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 17° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 17° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 71%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Waihi: European (ECMWF): 18° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 17° Overcast.

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Waihi weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Waihi swings 16°C across the year, from 21°C highs in February to 5°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1879 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
21°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
July
1879 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
4,619
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Waihi and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waihi hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waihi 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
21° 15°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
23° 14°
±5°
Sat
Showers
21° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
20° 11°
±5°
Tue
Showers
20° 15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 13°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
22° 14°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±6°
Mon
Light rain
22° 15°
±2°

Waihi, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1879 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Waihi right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Waihi climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
20°
14°
Feb
21°
14°
Mar
20°
12°
Apr
18°
11°
May
15°
9°
Jun
12°
7°
Jul
11°
5°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
14°
7°
Oct
15°
8°
Nov
17°
9°
Dec
20°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Waihi has changed since 1995

Waihi sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Morrinsville. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Morrinsville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Waihi?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±1.9 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C85±7.5 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±87%5% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°17° to 20°±58%35% to 93% chance
Thu±3°19° to 22°±62%20% to 82% chance
Fri±5°21° to 26°±20%78% to 98% chance
Sat±3°19° to 22°±35%63% to 98% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waihi

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
19:52
Daylight
13h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waihi today?
Tuesday 3 November: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Waihi today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 93% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Waihi today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Waihi on Wednesday 4 November: European 93%, American 55%, German 35%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waihi?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waihi (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waihi?
February is typically the warmest month in Waihi, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Waihi get?
The coldest month in Waihi is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Waihi get?
Waihi sees roughly 1879 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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