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CheckWeather NZMount Maunganui
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mount Maunganui weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Mount Maunganui today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°
16°11°
16°
15°
15°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light rain
Feels 15° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Light showers
Feels 16° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Mount Maunganui: European (ECMWF): 15° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 16° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mount Maunganui and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
17°
models agree
Fri
Clear
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
15°
±4°

Mount Maunganui, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1861 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mount Maunganui right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mount Maunganui climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
17°
Feb
23°
16°
Mar
21°
13°
Apr
19°
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
18°
10°
Nov
20°
12°
Dec
22°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mount Maunganui?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C90±4.8 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
88
/100rank #3
95±0.3°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±42%5% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 16°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tue±2°16° to 17°±25%33% to 58% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±29%16% to 45% chance
Thu±3°13° to 17°±62%28% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Maunganui

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
17:57
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Maunganui today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mount Maunganui today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mount Maunganui today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mount Maunganui and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Maunganui?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mount Maunganui (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mount Maunganui?
January is typically the warmest month in Mount Maunganui, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Mount Maunganui get?
The coldest month in Mount Maunganui is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Mount Maunganui get?
Mount Maunganui sees roughly 1861 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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