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CheckWeather NZBethlehem
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bethlehem weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Bethlehem today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°
16°11°
16°
15°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 9%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 25%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bethlehem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
14°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
16°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±3°

Bethlehem, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1861 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bethlehem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Bethlehem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
22°
15°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
19°
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bethlehem?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C92±4.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C91±4.6 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
88
/100rank #3
94±0.4°C94±3.1 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±71%9% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 16°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±17%35% to 52% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±26%25% to 51% chance
Thu±4°13° to 16°±66%28% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bethlehem

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bethlehem today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bethlehem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bethlehem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bethlehem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bethlehem?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bethlehem (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bethlehem?
January is typically the warmest month in Bethlehem, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Bethlehem get?
The coldest month in Bethlehem is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Bethlehem get?
Bethlehem sees roughly 1861 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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