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CheckWeather NZMorrinsville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Morrinsville weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Morrinsville today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°
16°10°
16°
15°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 17%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 30%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Morrinsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±3°

Morrinsville, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1462 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Morrinsville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Morrinsville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
21°
11°
Apr
19°
12°
May
17°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
18°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
23°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morrinsville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
93
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
89
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C95±2.5 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±75%17% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±10%23% to 33% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±19%13% to 32% chance
Thu±3°12° to 16°±50%40% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morrinsville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morrinsville today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Morrinsville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morrinsville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Morrinsville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morrinsville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morrinsville (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morrinsville?
January is typically the warmest month in Morrinsville, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Morrinsville get?
The coldest month in Morrinsville is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Morrinsville get?
Morrinsville sees roughly 1462 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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