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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZTokoroa
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tokoroa weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Tokoroa today. Tomorrow looks rain around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°
13°
14°
14°
11°
12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 84%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Light rain
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 35%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Tokoroa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
12°
±4°

Tokoroa, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1627 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Tokoroa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Tokoroa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
21°
13°
Mar
18°
Apr
17°
10°
May
14°
Jun
13°
Jul
11°
Aug
11°
Sep
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
18°
Dec
21°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tokoroa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±4.2 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C85±7.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°±65%35% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±4°13° to 16°±22%25% to 47% chance
Wed±3°13° to 16°±13%15% to 28% chance
Thu±1°11° to 12°±67%33% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tokoroa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tokoroa today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Tokoroa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tokoroa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Tokoroa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tokoroa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tokoroa (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tokoroa?
January is typically the warmest month in Tokoroa, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Tokoroa get?
The coldest month in Tokoroa is August, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Tokoroa get?
Tokoroa sees roughly 1627 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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