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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Ngongotaha weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Ngongotaha's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

20°9°
20°10°
19°9°
16°10°
16°8°
16°9°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Overcast
Feels 8° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Ngongotaha: European (ECMWF): 11° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

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Ngongotaha weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ngongotaha swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1683 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1683 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,240
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ngongotaha and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ngongotaha hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ngongotaha 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 9°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 8°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 9°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 7°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 9°
±7°

Ngongotaha, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1683 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ngongotaha right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Ngongotaha climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
14°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
17°
10°
May
14°
8°
Jun
12°
6°
Jul
11°
4°
Aug
12°
4°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
16°
8°
Nov
18°
9°
Dec
21°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ngongotaha has changed since 1995

Ngongotaha sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Rotorua. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Rotorua page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ngongotaha?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±2.1 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C93±3.3 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C83±8.7 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°17° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°17° to 20°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±4%96% to 100% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±29%14% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ngongotaha

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ngongotaha today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Ngongotaha's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ngongotaha today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Ngongotaha on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ngongotaha?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ngongotaha (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ngongotaha?
January is typically the warmest month in Ngongotaha, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Ngongotaha get?
The coldest month in Ngongotaha is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Ngongotaha get?
Ngongotaha sees roughly 1683 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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