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CheckWeather NZ›Kawerau
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Kawerau weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Kawerau's high today between 20° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 23°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

22°8°
23°9°
21°8°
19°11°
20°8°
19°8°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Partly cloudy
Feels 9° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 83%

Latest for Kawerau: European (ECMWF): 10° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 13° Overcast.

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Kawerau weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kawerau swings 20°C across the year, from 24°C highs in February to 4°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1582 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
24°C average high
Coldest month
August
4°C average low
Wettest month
June
1582 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,670
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kawerau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kawerau hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kawerau 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 8°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 9°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 8°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 8°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 9°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 6°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Tue
Rain
19° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±9°

Kawerau, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1582 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kawerau right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Kawerau climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
15°
Feb
24°
14°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
8°
Jun
14°
6°
Jul
14°
5°
Aug
15°
4°
Sep
16°
6°
Oct
19°
9°
Nov
20°
10°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kawerau has changed since 1995

Kawerau sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Whakatane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Whakatane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kawerau?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C90±4.9 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°20° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°21° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°19° to 23°±15%0% to 15% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±20%80% to 100% chance
Wed±4°18° to 22°±32%8% to 40% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kawerau

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
13h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kawerau today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Kawerau's high today between 20° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 23°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kawerau today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Kawerau on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kawerau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kawerau (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kawerau?
February is typically the warmest month in Kawerau, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Kawerau get?
The coldest month in Kawerau is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Kawerau get?
Kawerau sees roughly 1582 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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