Opotiki swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 6°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1781 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
June
1781 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
4,900
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Opotiki and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Opotiki hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Opotiki 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18°13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18°12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19°15°
models agree
Fri
Rain
19°16°
models agree
Sat
Rain
18°15°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
18°14°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
20°14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
18°15°
models agree
Wed
Rain
19°16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19°14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20°13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
19°13°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
18°16°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
20°16°
models agree
Opotiki, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1781 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Opotiki right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
22°
15°
Mar
22°
14°
Apr
18°
11°
May
16°
10°
Jun
14°
8°
Jul
14°
6°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
15°
7°
Oct
16°
9°
Nov
18°
11°
Dec
20°
14°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Opotiki's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Opotiki, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 1998.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
6 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−6%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.2°C
−6
+4%
1996
−0.6°C
−5
+8%
1997
−0.8°C
−5
−0%
1998
+1.0°C
+9
+8%
1999
+0.4°C
+2
−0%
2000
+0.1°C
+4
+4%
2001
±0.0°C
−3
−0%
2002
−0.2°C
−5
+8%
2003
−0.2°C
−4
+4%
2004
−0.8°C
−4
+4%
2005
+0.1°C
+1
−4%
2006
−0.4°C
−3
−0%
2007
±0.0°C
−4
−0%
2008
±0.0°C
+1
+4%
2009
−0.5°C
+5
−0%
2010
−0.1°C
−7
−4%
2011
−0.1°C
+1
−0%
2012
−0.7°C
−5
−0%
2013
+0.3°C
−1
−4%
2014
−0.3°C
−5
−0%
2015
−0.2°C
−3
−4%
2016
+0.5°C
+10
−0%
2017
+0.1°C
+4
−8%
2018
+0.3°C
−0
−4%
2019
+0.5°C
+11
−4%
2020
+0.4°C
+17
−4%
2021
+0.5°C
+5
−0%
2022
+0.7°C
+1
−0%
2023
±0.0°C
−8
−0%
2024
+0.4°C
−1
−4%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Opotiki, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Opotiki?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C
97±1.5 km/h
7687% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C
89±5.3 km/h
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C
91±4.5 km/h
7184% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°17° to 18°
±59%33% to 92% chance
Tomorrow
±2°18° to 19°
±57%10% to 67% chance
Thu
±1°19° to 20°
±13%52% to 65% chance
Fri
±1°19° to 19°
±16%82% to 98% chance
Sat
±2°18° to 19°
±5%95% to 100% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Opotiki
today, local time
Sunrise
06:02
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 45m
Common questions
What's the weather in Opotiki today?
Tuesday 3 November: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Opotiki today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 18°, with a 67% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Opotiki today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Opotiki on Wednesday 4 November: European 67%, American 42%, German 10%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Opotiki?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Opotiki (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Opotiki?
January is typically the warmest month in Opotiki, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Opotiki get?
The coldest month in Opotiki is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Opotiki get?
Opotiki sees roughly 1781 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Opotiki getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Opotiki, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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