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CheckWeather NZGisborne
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Gisborne weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Gisborne today. Tomorrow looks rain around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°
17°11°
13°
16°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light rain
Feels 15° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 96%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Rain
Feels 11° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Gisborne: European (ECMWF): 16° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 12° Rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gisborne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°
Sat
Clear
16°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
15°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
19°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
19° 11°
±4°
Thu
Light rain
16°
±6°
Fri
Clear
15°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
16°
±4°

Gisborne, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Gisborne right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Gisborne's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Gisborne weather by month

what to expect in Gisborne through the year

Here is Gisborne's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Gisborne by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Feb
23°
15°
Warm
Mar
21°
13°
Mild
Apr
19°
12°
Mild
May
16°
10°
Mild
Jun
14°
Cool
Wettest
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
17°
Mild
Oct
18°
10°
Mild
Nov
19°
12°
Mild
Dec
23°
15°
Warm

What Gisborne's weather is like through the year

Gisborne runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 6°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Gisborne sees roughly 1638 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Gisborne

The most comfortable time to visit Gisborne is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gisborne?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C90±4.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C77±11.3 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C89±5.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Gisborne, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 85. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±35%0% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±31%49% to 80% chance
Wed±1°15° to 17°±26%3% to 29% chance
Thu±3°14° to 17°±17%22% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gisborne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
11h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gisborne today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Gisborne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gisborne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Gisborne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gisborne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gisborne (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gisborne?
February is typically the warmest month in Gisborne, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Gisborne get?
The coldest month in Gisborne is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Gisborne get?
Gisborne sees roughly 1638 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Gisborne?
The most comfortable time to visit Gisborne is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Gisborne?
Rarely - Gisborne very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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