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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Napier weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Napier's high today between 23° and 27°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain.

25°9°
24°10°
26°8°
23°11°
19°8°
22°8°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Clear
Feels 12° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 75%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Napier: European (ECMWF): 15° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 11° Partly cloudy.

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Napier weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Napier swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 944 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
July
944 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Napier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Napier hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Napier 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
25° 9°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 10°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
26° 8°
±2°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
23° 11°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 8°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 8°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
22° 9°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
24° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
16° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 8°
±3°

Napier, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Napier right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Napier's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Napier weather by month

what to expect in Napier through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Napier's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Napier by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Feb
23°
16°
Warm
Mar
22°
14°
Warm
Apr
20°
12°
Mild
May
17°
10°
Mild
Jun
14°
7°
Cool
Jul
13°
6°
Cool
Wettest
Aug
14°
6°
Cool
Sep
16°
7°
Mild
Oct
18°
9°
Mild
Nov
19°
11°
Mild
Dec
22°
14°
Warm

What Napier's weather is like through the year

Napier runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 6°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Napier sees roughly 944 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Napier

The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

How the weather around Napier has changed since 1995

Napier sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hastings. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Hastings page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Napier?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
81±1.0°C93±3.3 km/h5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C85±7.3 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
72
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C91±4.6 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Napier, scoring 76/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 74. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°23° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°25° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°22° to 24°±48%15% to 63% chance
Wed±6°16° to 21°±20%8% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Napier

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Napier today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Napier's high today between 23° and 27°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Napier today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Napier on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Napier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Napier (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Napier?
February is typically the warmest month in Napier, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Napier get?
The coldest month in Napier is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Napier get?
Napier sees roughly 944 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Napier?
The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Napier?
Rarely - Napier very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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