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CheckWeather NZNapier
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Napier weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Napier today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

19°10°
16°
13°
14°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Napier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16°
models agree
Tue
Showers
13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
15°
±5°

Napier, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Napier right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Napier's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Napier weather by month

what to expect in Napier through the year

Here is Napier's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Napier by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
23°
16°
Warm
Mar
21°
13°
Mild
Apr
20°
12°
Mild
May
17°
10°
Mild
Jun
15°
Mild
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
17°
Mild
Oct
19°
10°
Mild
Nov
20°
12°
Mild
Dec
23°
15°
Warm

What Napier's weather is like through the year

Napier runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when August lows sit around 6°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Napier sees roughly 1134 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Napier

The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Napier?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C92±4.1 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C85±7.7 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Napier, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 86. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±17%83% to 100% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thumodels agree16° to 16°±23%23% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Napier

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
11h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Napier today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Napier today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Napier today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Napier and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Napier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Napier (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Napier?
February is typically the warmest month in Napier, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Napier get?
The coldest month in Napier is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Napier get?
Napier sees roughly 1134 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Napier?
The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Napier?
Rarely - Napier very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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