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CheckWeather NZRaureka
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Raureka weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Raureka today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

18°
16°
13°
15°
15°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 35%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Raureka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
19°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
13°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
15°
±5°

Raureka, New Zealand is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 973 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Raureka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Raureka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
24°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Raureka?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C94±2.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C88±6.0 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±35%0% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±36%58% to 94% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±3°14° to 17°±32%19% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Raureka

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
11h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Raureka today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Raureka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Raureka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Raureka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Raureka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Raureka (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Raureka?
December is typically the warmest month in Raureka, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Raureka get?
The coldest month in Raureka is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Raureka get?
Raureka sees roughly 973 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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