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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Taradale weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Taradale's high today between 23° and 27°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain.

25°9°
24°10°
26°8°
23°11°
19°8°
22°8°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 11° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 77%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Taradale: European (ECMWF): 14° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 11° Partly cloudy.

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Taradale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Taradale swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 928 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
July
928 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Taradale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Taradale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Taradale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
25° 9°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 10°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
26° 8°
±2°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
23° 11°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 8°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 8°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
22° 9°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
24° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
16° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 8°
±3°

Taradale, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 928 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Taradale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Taradale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
22°
13°
Apr
20°
12°
May
17°
9°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
13°
6°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
16°
7°
Oct
18°
9°
Nov
19°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Taradale has changed since 1995

Taradale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hastings. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Hastings page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Taradale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
81±1.0°C95±2.3 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C89±5.3 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
71
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C92±4.1 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°23° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°25° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°22° to 24°±48%15% to 63% chance
Wed±6°16° to 21°±20%8% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Taradale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Taradale today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Taradale's high today between 23° and 27°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Taradale today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Taradale on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Taradale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Taradale (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Taradale?
February is typically the warmest month in Taradale, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Taradale get?
The coldest month in Taradale is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Taradale get?
Taradale sees roughly 928 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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