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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZFlaxmere
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Flaxmere weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Flaxmere today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

19°
16°
13°
15°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Flaxmere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
16°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
15°
±5°

Flaxmere, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1008 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Flaxmere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Flaxmere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
15°
Feb
24°
14°
Mar
21°
11°
Apr
20°
10°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
14°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Flaxmere?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C93±3.4 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±2.7 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C87±6.5 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±17%83% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree14° to 15°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thu±1°15° to 17°±23%23% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flaxmere

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
11h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flaxmere today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Flaxmere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flaxmere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Flaxmere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flaxmere?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Flaxmere (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flaxmere?
February is typically the warmest month in Flaxmere, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Flaxmere get?
The coldest month in Flaxmere is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Flaxmere get?
Flaxmere sees roughly 1008 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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