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CheckWeather NZ›Otorohanga
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Otorohanga weather

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Light drizzle,thunder likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Otorohanga today. Tomorrow: thunderstorm, around 21°, with a 79% chance of rain.

21°10°
21°12°
23°14°
23°15°
19°14°
21°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°Saturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Feels 20° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 54%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 55%

Latest for Otorohanga: European (ECMWF): 21° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 22° Overcast.

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Otorohanga weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Otorohanga swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1572 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
August
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1572 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
3,280
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Otorohanga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Otorohanga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Otorohanga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
21° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Showers
23° 15°
±3°
Sat
Showers
19° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
22° 11°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
20° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
21° 13°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 13°
±7°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
23° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
21° 15°
±5°
Mon
Rain
22° 15°
models agree

Otorohanga, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1572 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Otorohanga right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Otorohanga climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
14°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
18°
11°
May
16°
8°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
12°
5°
Aug
13°
4°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
16°
8°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
21°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Otorohanga has changed since 1995

Otorohanga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hamilton. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hamilton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Otorohanga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C97±1.5 km/h6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
72±1.5°C96±2.0 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
54±2.5°C84±7.8 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 23°±91%5% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±4°19° to 23°±29%50% to 79% chance
Thu±2°23° to 24°±32%41% to 73% chance
Fri±3°22° to 24°±15%85% to 100% chance
Sat±2°18° to 20°±12%85% to 97% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Otorohanga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
19:56
Daylight
13h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Otorohanga today?
Tuesday 3 November: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Otorohanga today. Tomorrow: thunderstorm, around 21°, with a 79% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Otorohanga today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Otorohanga on Wednesday 4 November: every model gives at least 50% (European 66%, American 79%, German 50%). On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 96%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Otorohanga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Otorohanga (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Otorohanga?
January is typically the warmest month in Otorohanga, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Otorohanga get?
The coldest month in Otorohanga is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Otorohanga get?
Otorohanga sees roughly 1572 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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