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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Tikipunga weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Tikipunga's high today between 20° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 12% chance of rain.

22°9°
20°9°
22°8°
20°12°
19°9°
19°8°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 12° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Tikipunga: European (ECMWF): 12° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Partly cloudy.

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Tikipunga weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tikipunga swings 16°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1434 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
July
1434 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
8,440
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Tikipunga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tikipunga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tikipunga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 9°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 9°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 8°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 9°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 9°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 9°
±3°

Tikipunga, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1434 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Tikipunga right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Tikipunga climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
19°
12°
May
17°
11°
Jun
14°
8°
Jul
14°
8°
Aug
15°
7°
Sep
17°
9°
Oct
17°
11°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tikipunga has changed since 1995

Tikipunga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Whangarei. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Whangarei page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tikipunga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.2 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
68
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C96±2.2 km/h3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
65
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C82±9.0 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±4°18° to 22°±12%0% to 12% chance
Mon±4°20° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±9%85% to 94% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±41%12% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tikipunga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tikipunga today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Tikipunga's high today between 20° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 12% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tikipunga today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Tikipunga on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 12% (European 12%, American 0%, German 3%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tikipunga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tikipunga (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tikipunga?
January is typically the warmest month in Tikipunga, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Tikipunga get?
The coldest month in Tikipunga is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Tikipunga get?
Tikipunga sees roughly 1434 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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