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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Dargaville weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Dargaville's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 19% chance of rain.

20°9°
19°10°
21°9°
20°12°
18°10°
18°9°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Dargaville: European (ECMWF): 12° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

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Dargaville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dargaville swings 14°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 9°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1265 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
9°C average low
Wettest month
July
1265 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,170
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dargaville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dargaville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dargaville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 9°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
17° 12°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 9°
models agree

Dargaville, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1265 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dargaville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Dargaville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
17°
Mar
22°
16°
Apr
20°
14°
May
17°
12°
Jun
16°
11°
Jul
15°
10°
Aug
15°
9°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
18°
12°
Nov
19°
13°
Dec
21°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Dargaville's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Dargaville, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 1998.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2008: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2010: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2023: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3 vs the 30-year average1996: −4 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: +26 vs the 30-year average1999: +0 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: −5 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −3 vs the 30-year average2009: +4 vs the 30-year average2010: +2 vs the 30-year average2011: +3 vs the 30-year average2012: −4 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: +0 vs the 30-year average2016: +9 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: +11 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −5 vs the 30-year average2022: +6 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: +2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−7%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +8% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: +4% vs the 30-year average1999: −3% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: +10% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: +7% vs the 30-year average2005: −3% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −4% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −6% vs the 30-year average2018: −6% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: −6% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C−3+1%
1996−0.3°C−4+8%
1997−0.6°C−3+1%
1998+1.0°C+26+4%
1999+0.3°C+0−3%
2000−0.2°C−4+2%
2001+0.3°C+1+2%
2002−0.2°C−5+10%
2003−0.2°C−6+2%
2004−0.8°C−4+7%
2005+0.3°C−4−3%
2006−0.5°C−3−1%
2007±0.0°C−6+1%
2008±0.0°C−3+4%
2009−0.4°C+4+2%
2010±0.0°C+2−1%
2011±0.0°C+3+2%
2012−0.5°C−4+2%
2013±0.0°C−4−4%
2014−0.2°C−6+2%
2015±0.0°C+0−4%
2016+0.7°C+9−1%
2017+0.2°C−4−6%
2018+0.4°C+11−6%
2019+0.3°C−2−3%
2020+0.3°C+2−4%
2021+0.4°C−5−6%
2022+0.8°C+6−4%
2023±0.0°C−6+2%
2024+0.3°C+2−6%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Dargaville, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dargaville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C84±7.8 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
68
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C92±4.2 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±19%0% to 19% chance
Mon±3°20° to 23°±14%0% to 14% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±7%90% to 97% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±26%22% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dargaville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dargaville today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Dargaville's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 19% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dargaville today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dargaville on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 19% (European 19%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dargaville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dargaville (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dargaville?
February is typically the warmest month in Dargaville, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Dargaville get?
The coldest month in Dargaville is August, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Dargaville get?
Dargaville sees roughly 1265 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Dargaville getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Dargaville, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

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