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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Raumanga weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Raumanga's high today between 21° and 24°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 12% chance of rain.

23°9°
20°9°
23°8°
21°12°
19°9°
19°8°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Partly cloudy
Feels 9° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Raumanga: European (ECMWF): 12° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

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Raumanga weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Raumanga swings 16°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1424 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
July
1424 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,960
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Raumanga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Raumanga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Raumanga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 9°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 9°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
23° 8°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 9°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 9°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
20° 9°
models agree

Raumanga, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1424 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Raumanga right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Raumanga climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
19°
12°
May
17°
11°
Jun
15°
8°
Jul
15°
8°
Aug
15°
7°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
18°
11°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Raumanga has changed since 1995

Raumanga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Whangarei. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Whangarei page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Raumanga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C97±1.7 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C83±8.4 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 22°±12%0% to 12% chance
Mon±4°20° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±11%83% to 94% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°±43%12% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Raumanga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Raumanga today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Raumanga's high today between 21° and 24°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 12% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Raumanga today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Raumanga on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 12% (European 12%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Raumanga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Raumanga (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Raumanga?
January is typically the warmest month in Raumanga, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Raumanga get?
The coldest month in Raumanga is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Raumanga get?
Raumanga sees roughly 1424 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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