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CheckWeather NZKerikeri
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kerikeri weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Kerikeri today. Tomorrow looks rain around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

18°
17°13°
17°
16°
15°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 16%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Fog
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kerikeri and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
17° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
16°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
16° 10°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
17°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±6°

Kerikeri, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1636 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kerikeri right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Kerikeri climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
17°
Feb
23°
16°
Mar
22°
14°
Apr
20°
14°
May
18°
12°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
15°
10°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
18°
11°
Nov
20°
12°
Dec
22°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kerikeri?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C94±3.2 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C82±9.2 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 19°±12%4% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±2°16° to 19°±9%7% to 16% chance
Wed±3°15° to 17°±19%50% to 69% chance
Thu±3°14° to 17°±49%35% to 84% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kerikeri

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kerikeri today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kerikeri today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kerikeri today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kerikeri and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kerikeri?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kerikeri (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kerikeri?
January is typically the warmest month in Kerikeri, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Kerikeri get?
The coldest month in Kerikeri is August, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Kerikeri get?
Kerikeri sees roughly 1636 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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