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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Stratford weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Stratford's high today between 16° and 20°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 22% chance of rain.

18°8°
18°7°
16°7°
15°8°
14°5°
15°6°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Overcast
Feels 8° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
8°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
8°
Fog
Feels 7° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for Stratford: European (ECMWF): 9° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 8° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 8° Fog.

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Stratford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Stratford swings 15°C across the year, from 20°C highs in February to 5°C lows in June, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2253 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
20°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
October
2253 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and December
Residents
6,430
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Stratford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stratford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stratford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 8°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 7°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 7°
±3°
Tue
Rain
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
14° 5°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15° 6°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 5°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Mon
Rain
16° 9°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
17° 8°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
16° 8°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 7°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 6°
±4°

Stratford, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 2253 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Stratford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Stratford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
19°
12°
Feb
20°
13°
Mar
19°
11°
Apr
15°
9°
May
14°
8°
Jun
11°
5°
Jul
10°
5°
Aug
11°
5°
Sep
12°
6°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
15°
8°
Dec
18°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Stratford has changed since 1995

Stratford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hawera. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hawera page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C92±4.2 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
71
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±3.1 km/h3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C83±8.3 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°16° to 20°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±3°17° to 20°±22%0% to 22% chance
Mon±3°15° to 18°±95%0% to 95% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±44%7% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Stratford's high today between 16° and 20°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 22% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Stratford today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Stratford on Sunday 25 October: European 22%, American 0%, German 0%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford?
February is typically the warmest month in Stratford, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Stratford get?
The coldest month in Stratford is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Stratford get?
Stratford sees roughly 2253 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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