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CheckWeather NZWhanganui
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Whanganui weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Whanganui today. Tomorrow looks showers around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

18°10°
15°
14°
15°
13°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
Light rain
Feels 2° · Wind 36 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Light rain
Feels 3° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Feels 5° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Whanganui: European (ECMWF): 8° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Light rain · German (DWD ICON): 9° Light rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Whanganui and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
18° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Thu
Showers
13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
16°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
models agree

Whanganui, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Whanganui right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Whanganui's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Whanganui weather by month

what to expect in Whanganui through the year

Here is Whanganui's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Whanganui by season.

Jan
22°
15°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
21°
14°
Mild
Mar
19°
12°
Mild
Apr
18°
11°
Mild
May
16°
Mild
Jun
14°
Cool
Jul
13°
Cool
Aug
13°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
16°
10°
Mild
Nov
17°
11°
Mild
Dec
20°
14°
Mild

What Whanganui's weather is like through the year

Whanganui runs from warm summers, with January highs near 22°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 6°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Whanganui sees roughly 1302 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Whanganui

The most comfortable time to visit Whanganui is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Whanganui?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C90±4.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C80±9.8 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C69±15.6 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Whanganui, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 80. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±4%95% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±44%8% to 52% chance
Wed±3°14° to 17°±6%2% to 8% chance
Thu±3°12° to 15°±40%52% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Whanganui

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Whanganui today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Whanganui today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Whanganui today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Whanganui and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Whanganui?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Whanganui (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Whanganui?
January is typically the warmest month in Whanganui, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Whanganui get?
The coldest month in Whanganui is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Whanganui get?
Whanganui sees roughly 1302 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Whanganui?
The most comfortable time to visit Whanganui is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Whanganui?
Rarely - Whanganui very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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